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28

long sleeve running shirt

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Soft demand (-83.8% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 10Growth 0Conversion 7Competition 53Returns 5Price range 91Avg price 95Brand share 32Review moat 35Quality gap 28

Avg price

Incredible$31.56

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$12.27–$64.09

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good53%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Review moat

Okay3,032.07

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Okay86%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad$38K

$38K/yr · 209K searches

Conversion

Bad0.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Returns

Bad10.9%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Growth

Bad-83.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 53% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

12 falling

Sellers

83

Top-5 brand share

86%

Open market

12%

  • WEERTI32%
  • Under Armour22%
  • Cuddl Duds19%
  • Spyder7%
  • 32 Degrees5%
  • Merino.tech2%
  • Open — no brand owns it (6 brands, 12%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$4K20%$8K30%$11K40%$15K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 28 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -83.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
15K10KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Feb, Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 18.6×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Warmth32%

“Keeps me warm”

Size-Overall14%

“the pants fit great”

Comfort-Overall9%

“Very Comfortable”

Quality-Overall7%

“Everything was well made”

Soft Feel6%

“Softest fabric ever”

Value For Money3%

“WORTH THE PRICE”

Weight Light2%

“it is lightweight feel”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“It works as expected”

Water Resistance1%

“Im still blown away by the waterproof experience”

Material Quality1%

“The material is warm”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall14%

“Way too small”

Warmth9%

“Not that warm”

Thickness4%

“I thought the material was thinner”

Water Resistance3%

“peels quickly leaving no waterproof protection”

Suitability Winter Weather3%

“they did not keep my hands warm this Winter”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Different than expected”

Quality-Overall2%

“Made very cheap”

Smell2%

“they develop a strong smell — think high school locker room”

Functionality-Overall2%

“Doesn't work”

Stretchability/Expandability/Elasticity2%

“Elastic band is very tight”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall58%
Waist Fit5%
Length5%
Material Quality4%
Warmth3%
Advertised Vs Actual Product3%
Weight Heavy2%
Value For Money2%
Thickness2%
Thin1%