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harry potter scarf

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Soft demand (-50.4% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 25Growth 0Conversion 34Competition 28Returns 24Price range 69Avg price 81Brand share 30Review moat 69Quality gap 19

Avg price

Great$17.28

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Good736.04

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good$4.98–$37.48

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Okay2.7%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay87%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Competition

Okay68%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Market size

Bad$99K

$99K/yr · 211K searches

Returns

Bad6.3%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Bad-50.4%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 68% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

13 falling

Sellers

18

Top-5 brand share

87%

Open market

10%

  • Harry Potter49%
  • Zando18%
  • Cinereplicas10%
  • elope8%
  • wonshia3%
  • HCMY3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (7 brands, 10%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$5K10%$10K15%$15K20%$20K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -50.4% search growth over the last 90 days.
23K18KSpike '24Prime Day '25Spike '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 14.2×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall14%

“Very nice quality”

Value For Money13%

“affordable”

Warmth11%

“Keeps us warm”

Color8%

“The colors are exact”

Gifting Purpose8%

“Gift”

Soft Feel7%

“Soft”

Material Quality6%

“Excellent thickness of yarn”

Durability5%

“Very good quality and super durable”

Advertised Vs Actual Product5%

“is exactly like the picture”

Weather Proof4%

“during the very cold days after Christmas and loved it”

What buyers complain about

Quality-Overall27%

“I was nervous about the quality of the product because so cheap”

Material Quality14%

“Unfortunately it just felt and looked cheap”

Warmth12%

“Not very warm”

Thin7%

“thin material”

Ease Of Cleaning5%

“Please keep in mind that the care tag states it can only be spot cleaned. no dry cleaning or machine washing”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall26%
Length22%
Material Quality9%
Color9%
Value For Money8%
Quality-Overall6%
Thin5%
Shape/Style3%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%
Product Condition2%