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girls north face winter coat

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Soft demand (-74.5% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 7Growth 0Conversion 12Competition 85Returns 0Price range 62Avg price 83Brand share 0Review moat 71Quality gap 23

Competition

Great30%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Great$76.69

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Good648.56

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Good$24.01–$145.92

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Bad4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Bad0.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$28K

$28K/yr · 39K searches

Growth

Bad-74.5%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Bad100%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Returns

Bad19.1%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (30% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

3 rising

Sellers

13

Top-5 brand share

100%

Open market

0%

  • The North Face87%
  • Eddie Bauer7%
  • Columbia6%
  • Open — no brand owns it (0%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$8326%$2K9%$2K12%$3K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 36 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 103 weeks — -74.5% search growth over the last 90 days.
3K2KPrime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 20.9×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Warmth22%

“Beautiful/stylish warm jacket”

Quality-Overall20%

“Great quality”

Lining Quality8%

“Well made and the lining makes the coat nice and warm”

Material Quality7%

“Fabric is great”

Soft Feel6%

“This is a really nice kids jacket with super soft and comfortable material”

Color6%

“Warm and colorful”

Size-Overall5%

“the fit is just right”

Zipper Quality4%

“My grand daughter can zip up very easily jacket”

Durability4%

“Thick and durable”

Washability3%

“Its held up well after washing”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall30%

“The size is off”

Color13%

“the light color shows dirt fast”

Thickness13%

“thin”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall82%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%
Sleeve Fit2%
Length2%
Color2%
Waist Fit1%
Quality-Overall1%
Warmth1%
Value For Money1%
Weight Heavy1%