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61

white nail polish

Launch it

A $1.0M/yr market growing +65.8% this quarter with returns at 0.5% — clears our launch bar.

Market size 78Growth 77Conversion 88Competition 50Returns 98Price range 0Avg price 19Brand share 44Review moat 14Quality gap 60

Returns

Incredible0.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Great10.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Great$1.0M

$1.0M/yr · 1.5M searches

Growth

Great+65.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Good55%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay79%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Avg price

Bad$6.80

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Bad23,961.63

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Bad$1.12–$11.69

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

The top 5 products take 55% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

14 rising

Sellers

87

Top-5 brand share

79%

Open market

17%

  • Sally Hansen34%
  • OPI21%
  • wet n wild10%
  • AZUREBEAUTY9%
  • essie6%
  • OpenLive5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 17%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$52K10%$104K15%$156K20%$208K1001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +65.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
45K35KSpike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: May, Jun, Jul · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.3×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color25%

“Color is cute”

Quality-Overall13%

“Perfect results”

Value For Money6%

“worth the money”

Stitch/Finish/Polish5%

“Great finish”

Ease Of Use5%

“It goes on easy”

Ease Of Application5%

“Easy apply”

Durability4%

“High durability”

Paint Quality4%

“the paint is fine”

Coverage3%

“Good coverage”

Soft Feel3%

“This gel is pure white and so very creamy and smooth”

What buyers complain about

Moist/Dry11%

“dry like AT ALL”

Quality-Overall10%

“Bad quality”

Color10%

“Not white”

Thickness9%

“But the more layers were thick and ugly”

Adhesion/Stickiness5%

“will not adhere to nail”

Durability5%

“Chipped first day”

Paint Quality4%

“the polish started peeling”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“It doesnt look at all like the picture”

Size-Overall3%

“bottle looks kinda small”

Value For Money3%

“Waste of money”

Top return reasons

Color17%
Functionality-Overall12%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Thickness9%
Moist/Dry7%
Quality-Overall7%
Value For Money3%
Leak-Proof3%
Paint Quality3%
Texture/Consistency-Overall3%