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vegan nail polish

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Brand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 98% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 25Growth 58Conversion 76Competition 22Returns 97Price range 14Avg price 32Brand share 6Review moat 20Quality gap 47

Returns

Incredible0.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Great7.1%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Good+32.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Avg price

Okay$9.80

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Market size

Okay$103K

$103K/yr · 147K searches

Competition

Bad74%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Review moat

Bad13,876.13

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Bad$6.32–$16.45

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Bad98%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Competition

The top 5 products capture 74% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

6 falling

Sellers

85

Top-5 brand share

98%

Open market

0%

  • essie83%
  • OPI6%
  • GELLEN3%
  • Orly3%
  • Sally Hansen3%
  • GAOY2%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$10K20%$21K30%$31K40%$41K1K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 15 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +32.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
8K6KSpike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jul · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.6×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color47%

“Pretty shade”

Quality-Overall9%

“Excellent product”

Durability5%

“Very durable”

Stitch/Finish/Polish3%

“has a satin finish”

Ease Of Use3%

“is easy to remove”

Ease Of Application3%

“Application is easy and smooth”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“As advertised”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“A very natural glow”

Value For Money2%

“Great value”

Drying Time2%

“Dries fast”

What buyers complain about

Color22%

“the color was not what I expected”

Thickness10%

“Not as thick as it used to be”

Quality-Overall6%

“the polish quality is terrible”

Durability6%

“peeling after two days”

Moist/Dry6%

“takes too long to dry”

Smell3%

“strong smell”

Coverage3%

“Barely covered”

Adhesion/Stickiness3%

“Sticky/tacky”

Ease Of Use3%

“Kinda inconvenient”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“I can hardly believe the blatant false advertising in the name of the product”

Top return reasons

Color43%
Advertised Vs Actual Product15%
Functionality-Overall8%
Smell5%
Moist/Dry4%
Thickness3%
Adhesion/Stickiness2%
Quality-Overall2%
Durability2%
Value For Money2%