Skip to content
28

valentines nail polish

Skip it

A small market ($0/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 0Growth 0Conversion 0Competition 30Returns 80Price range 0Avg price 28Brand share 22Review moat 76Quality gap 82

Quality gap

Great4.2★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Returns

Great1.8%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Great470.27

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Okay67%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Avg price

Okay$9.39

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Bad91%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Market size

Bad$0

$0/yr · 41K searches

Growth

Bad-92.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Conversion

Bad0.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Bad$5.98–$13.98

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

The top 5 products take 67% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

7 falling

Sellers

12

Top-5 brand share

91%

Open market

3%

  • beetles Gel Polish45%
  • Orly20%
  • Nailshion12%
  • Nails Inc8%
  • RARJSM6%
  • modelones5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (1 brand, 3%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$020%$030%$040%$01101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 11 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -92.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
8K6KSpike '24Spike '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Feb · busiest ÷ quietest = 41.9×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color19%

“Great color”

Advertised Vs Actual Product17%

“Just as described”

Brightness/Shine/Glow7%

“Love this gel is so beautiful and shine”

Drying Time6%

“It dries super quickly too”

Value For Money6%

“Worth it”

Smell6%

“Perfection in a bottle with a strong odor”

Stitch/Finish/Polish6%

“This is a really nice polish”

Ease Of Use4%

“Cures easily / as expected as well”

Gifting Purpose3%

“it's great for valentine's day”

Size-Overall3%

“Good size for what you pay”

What buyers complain about

Smell11%

“This polish smells terrible”

Moist/Dry8%

“Won't even dry”

Adhesion/Stickiness7%

“it was near impossible to get them to stick to the nail”

Ease Of Use6%

“Too much trouble”

Advertised Vs Actual Product6%

“False advertising”

Leak-Proof6%

“I ended up throwing it away because gel kept leaking from the container”

Durability6%

“Doesn't last”

Color6%

“Even when you do get a heart it looks like a little red glob”

Defective Material/Parts6%

“Product is not good doesent work well”

Functionality-Overall6%

“Didn't work 4 me”

Top return reasons

Advertised Vs Actual Product25%
Functionality-Overall13%
Adhesion/Stickiness8%
Color7%
Smell7%
Leak-Proof6%
Moist/Dry5%
Quality-Overall5%
Ease Of Use5%
Defective Material/Parts4%