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thymes frasier fir hand soap

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Brand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 100% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 12Growth 7Conversion 98Competition 7Returns 98Price range 80Avg price 95Brand share 0Review moat 70Quality gap 27

Conversion

Incredible16.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Returns

Incredible0.4%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Incredible$23.80

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$10.03–$35.87

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Good706

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad$46K

$46K/yr · 12K searches

Growth

Bad-36.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Bad92%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Brand share

Bad100%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Competition

The top 5 products capture 92% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

3 rising

Sellers

25

Top-5 brand share

100%

Open market

0%

  • Thymes92%
  • Mrs. MEYER'S5%
  • River Birch4%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$5K20%$9K30%$14K40%$19K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 7 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 98 weeks — -36.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
3K2KPrime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25Spike '26DecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 41.6×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell62%

“Clean scent/ Good deal”

Lather7%

“The soap lathers and cleans well and it doesn't leave much of a residue either”

Value For Money4%

“worth the price for me”

Quality-Overall3%

“They had no complaints”

Soft Feel3%

“Gentle on the skin”

Dispensing Mechanism2%

“Like a tree and use it in my automated foam dispensers”

Gifting Purpose2%

“Also a great gift”

Ease Of Cleaning2%

“Great soap using just a little to get hands clean”

Size-Overall2%

“the size for price is perfect”

De-Grease1%

“Great smelling and removes oil and grime from hands”

What buyers complain about

Smell22%

“subtle fir scent”

Value For Money14%

“It was expensive before I had to buy another dispenser”

Size-Overall9%

“So small”

Leak-Proof9%

“Arrived open and leaked everywhere”

Moist/Dry6%

“but doesnt help with my dry hands”

Functionality-Overall3%

“Doesnt work”

Motor Power3%

“The pump doesnt work”

Quality-Overall2%

“Super disappointed with the quality control—I expected better from Thymes”

Strength2%

“I wish it were a tad stronger”

Dispensing Mechanism2%

“Defective pump”

Top return reasons

Smell35%
Leak-Proof22%
Advertised Vs Actual Product13%
Size-Overall10%
Value For Money3%
Motor Power3%
Defective Material/Parts3%
Product Condition2%
Thickness2%
Color1%