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39

red jelly gel polish

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Soft demand (-38.0% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 16Growth 6Conversion 53Competition 44Returns 76Price range 60Avg price 43Brand share 28Review moat 23Quality gap 68

Returns

Great1.9%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Good$5.69–$28.77

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Good4.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Okay59%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Avg price

Okay$11.14

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Brand share

Okay88%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Review moat

Bad7,402.94

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Market size

Bad$62K

$62K/yr · 130K searches

Growth

Bad-38.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 59% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

8 falling

Sellers

9

Top-5 brand share

88%

Open market

7%

  • GAOY44%
  • Double Rhythm22%
  • beetles Gel Polish9%
  • Born Pretty8%
  • CANNI5%
  • GTBINGGO5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (2 brands, 7%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$6K20%$12K30%$19K40%$25K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 18 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 91 weeks — -38.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
10K6KHoliday '24Spike '25NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Oct, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 7.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color52%

“Colors are amazing”

Quality-Overall10%

“It self levels so well”

Ease Of Use6%

“It was easy to use”

Stitch/Finish/Polish4%

“Beautiful colors and nice finish”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“Very shine”

Value For Money2%

“its also a nice size bottle for the price”

Ease Of Application2%

“easy application”

Durability1%

“I also like how durable it feels”

Size-Overall1%

“The fit is spot on for me”

Texture/Consistency-Overall1%

“with a very good consistency”

What buyers complain about

Color41%

“Very dark”

Advertised Vs Actual Product10%

“Not as shown”

Thickness6%

“Not as sheer”

Moist/Dry4%

“Doesnt dry well”

Quality-Overall3%

“Trash”

Ease Of Use2%

“Too much trouble”

Durability2%

“But it didnt even last 36 hours - I put this over dip powder,. and yes, I cured it., similar to what I do for other brands of gel and one nail popped off overnight and others started coming off while I was in the shower,”

Paint Quality2%

“They looked weird so I just painted my nails without it”

Dilute/Watery2%

“Watery”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“not greatest lighting”

Top return reasons

Color45%
Advertised Vs Actual Product14%
Functionality-Overall6%
Size-Overall4%
Thickness3%
Quality-Overall3%
Feet Fit3%
Leak-Proof2%
Paint Quality2%
Length2%