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51

red gel nail polish

Worth a look

Shows searches that convert (9.2% search→purchase), but a deep review moat (9,741 avg reviews) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 66Growth 29Conversion 84Competition 57Returns 78Price range 49Avg price 26Brand share 29Review moat 22Quality gap 47

Conversion

Great9.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Returns

Great1.8%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Market size

Good$645K

$645K/yr · 771K searches

Competition

Good51%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Price range

Okay$3.72–$25.74

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Okay+2.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Okay88%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Avg price

Okay$9.07

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Bad9,740.7

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

The top 5 products take 51% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

9 falling

Sellers

14

Top-5 brand share

88%

Open market

6%

  • beetles Gel Polish46%
  • GAOY18%
  • CANNI9%
  • modelones8%
  • Double Rhythm7%
  • OPI6%
  • Open — no brand owns it (3 brands, 6%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$32K10%$65K15%$97K20%$129K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 27 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +2.9% search growth over the last 90 days.
40K30KSpike '24Holiday '24Spike '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.7×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color55%

“Beautiful colors”

Quality-Overall11%

“Amazing quality”

Stitch/Finish/Polish4%

“Overall, the polish has a beautiful finish with that dramatic cat eye effect that catches the light in a lovely way”

Ease Of Use3%

“Easy to use”

Value For Money2%

“Worth the money”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“They shine”

Ease Of Application2%

“Easy application”

Durability2%

“I also like how durable it feels”

Soft Feel2%

“Goes on smooth”

Texture/Consistency-Overall2%

“Perfect consistency”

What buyers complain about

Color22%

“Color darker than expected”

Moist/Dry13%

“Doesnt dry well”

Thickness6%

“Much thicker than what I normally use”

Quality-Overall5%

“Its not good quality”

Durability4%

“it falls apart the same day”

Paint Quality3%

“it had clots in paint”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Not as pictured”

Allergies3%

“Was allergic to other brands”

Size-Overall3%

“This set is so tiny”

Value For Money2%

“Waste of money”

Top return reasons

Color54%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Functionality-Overall6%
Thickness4%
Quality-Overall3%
Moist/Dry3%
Paint Quality2%
Value For Money2%
Size-Overall2%
Leak-Proof2%