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58

orange nail polish

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.5%), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 22Growth 95Conversion 50Competition 77Returns 97Price range 5Avg price 20Brand share 50Review moat 19Quality gap 73

Returns

Incredible0.5%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Growth

Incredible+121.9%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Great38%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Okay4.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Brand share

Okay75%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Market size

Bad$87K

$87K/yr · 298K searches

Avg price

Bad$7.34

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Bad14,500.81

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Bad$1.08–$15.76

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (38% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

20 falling

Sellers

128

Top-5 brand share

75%

Open market

21%

  • OPI28%
  • essie21%
  • Sally Hansen20%
  • L.A. COLORS4%
  • REVLON4%
  • CANNI3%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$3K8%$7K12%$10K16%$14K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 47 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +121.9% search growth over the last 90 days.
13K8KSpike '24Spike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jun, Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 7.2×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color52%

“Color is pretty”

Quality-Overall7%

“salon-quality look at home”

Value For Money5%

“Worth the money”

Stitch/Finish/Polish3%

“Smooth glossy finish”

Durability3%

“Wonderful and durable”

Coverage2%

“Good coverage”

Ease Of Application2%

“-Super easy to apply, goes on smoothly, dry's quickly”

Texture/Consistency-Overall2%

“-Texture is smooth”

Moist/Dry2%

“never seems to dry”

Ease Of Use2%

“Easy to use”

What buyers complain about

Color32%

“The color isnt accurate”

Thickness6%

“Too thick”

Durability5%

“Comes off quickly”

Moist/Dry5%

“WONT DRY”

Quality-Overall5%

“This bottle is terrible”

Paint Quality4%

“i feel like the paint does not take to your nail”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Not as described”

Value For Money3%

“I know it is extremely cheap”

Size-Overall3%

“Small”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“very little glitter”

Top return reasons

Color44%
Advertised Vs Actual Product12%
Size-Overall7%
Functionality-Overall6%
Quality-Overall6%
Paint Quality4%
Moist/Dry3%
Brightness/Shine/Glow2%
Smell2%
Value For Money2%