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58

orange gel nail polish

Worth a look

Shows demand growing +139.6% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 19Growth 96Conversion 58Competition 82Returns 87Price range 49Avg price 29Brand share 38Review moat 19Quality gap 53

Growth

Incredible+139.6%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Returns

Great1.4%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great33%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Conversion

Good4.9%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Okay$3.71–$25.70

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Okay82%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Avg price

Okay$9.44

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Market size

Bad$77K

$77K/yr · 165K searches

Review moat

Bad14,751.81

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (33% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

14 rising

Sellers

17

Top-5 brand share

82%

Open market

13%

  • beetles Gel Polish39%
  • CANNI20%
  • GAOY10%
  • MelodySusie8%
  • Double Rhythm6%
  • V VENALISA5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 13%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%2%$2K4%$3K6%$5K8%$6K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 48 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +139.6% search growth over the last 90 days.
7K5KSpike '24Spike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: May, Jun, Jul, Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 6.3×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color50%

“Perfect fall colors”

Quality-Overall7%

“Love thr brand”

Value For Money4%

“Worth the money”

Ease Of Application3%

“Easy application”

Stitch/Finish/Polish3%

“Its a great gel polish”

Coverage3%

“Great coverage”

Durability3%

“stay on well”

Brightness/Shine/Glow3%

“So far these are good polishes they are definitely bright if thats what your looking for I did this set”

Soft Feel3%

“The formula goes on super smooth”

Texture/Consistency-Overall2%

“they have a good consistency”

What buyers complain about

Color18%

“Color is not as advertised”

Moist/Dry10%

“Arrived completely dried out”

Allergies8%

“My skin still feels irritated, sensitive, and extremely itchy”

Adhesion/Stickiness6%

“stay sticky”

Size-Overall5%

“VERY SMALL”

Quality-Overall4%

“I dont feel the quality is the best”

Durability3%

“Comes off quickly”

Leak-Proof3%

“the bottles leak”

Thickness2%

“It is thick as you put it on”

Sensitivity-Overall2%

“Cause nail bed bruising”

Top return reasons

Color52%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Functionality-Overall5%
Leak-Proof4%
Size-Overall4%
Paint Quality3%
Quality-Overall3%
Moist/Dry3%
Value For Money2%
Thickness2%