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53

maybelline nail polish

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.7%), but a deep review moat (16,341 avg reviews) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 33Growth 65Conversion 29Competition 88Returns 97Price range 33Avg price 23Brand share 30Review moat 18Quality gap 60

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great27%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Growth

Good+43.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Okay$156K

$156K/yr · 827K searches

Price range

Okay$1.29–$21.69

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Okay87%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Conversion

Okay2.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Avg price

Bad$8.18

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Bad16,340.75

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (27% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

14 flat

Sellers

131

Top-5 brand share

87%

Open market

9%

  • Sally Hansen51%
  • OPI20%
  • essie8%
  • SAVILAND4%
  • Morovan4%
  • OpenLive4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 9%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$5K6%$9K9%$14K12%$19K1001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 64 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +43.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
60K40KHoliday '24Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.9×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color40%

“Beautiful Colors”

Quality-Overall8%

“Excellent Product”

Moist/Dry6%

“It is in fact fast dry”

Value For Money5%

“value for money”

Stitch/Finish/Polish4%

“The finish is glossy”

Durability4%

“Very durable”

Brightness/Shine/Glow2%

“Good Shine”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Does exactly what it says”

Ease Of Application2%

“Application is easy”

Ease Of Use2%

“Easy to use”

What buyers complain about

Color14%

“Color not as described”

Quality-Overall8%

“Seems low quality”

Durability8%

“Doesn't last”

Thickness7%

“3 layers is too thick for my taste”

Moist/Dry7%

“Terrible Dry Time”

Size-Overall6%

“Bottles are too small”

Value For Money3%

“A bit pricey”

Smell3%

“smell is unbearable”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Not as Described”

Allergies2%

“causes skin rash”

Top return reasons

Color35%
Advertised Vs Actual Product13%
Size-Overall8%
Functionality-Overall7%
Quality-Overall5%
Leak-Proof5%
Paint Quality3%
Moist/Dry3%
Smell2%
Thickness2%