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diapers

Launch it

A $19.8M/yr market growing +1.0% this quarter with returns at 0.6% — clears our launch bar.

Market size 100Growth 26Conversion 58Competition 73Returns 97Price range 87Avg price 95Brand share 2Review moat 2Quality gap 48

Market size

Incredible$19.8M

$19.8M/yr · 12.4M searches

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Incredible$32.18

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$10.53–$57.97

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good41%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Conversion

Good5.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Okay+1.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Bad99%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Review moat

Bad45,889.45

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

The top 5 products take 41% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

6 flat

Sellers

78

Top-5 brand share

99%

Open market

0%

  • Pampers55%
  • HUGGIES30%
  • The Honest Company11%
  • Mama Bear2%
  • Pura1%
  • KeaBabies1%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$990K10%$2.0M15%$3.0M20%$4.0M101001K10K100K1.0M Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 38 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +1.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
450K350KPrime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

No pronounced peak months · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Ease Of Cleaning13%

“Cleans well”

Quality-Overall12%

“the quality is always consistent”

Value For Money11%

“Good value for money”

Soft Feel9%

“Incredibly soft”

Size-Overall5%

“The fit is snug”

Sensitivity-Overall4%

“GREAT for Sensitive Skin”

Allergies4%

“No sign of irritation”

Moist/Dry3%

“The moisture level is good”

Cleansing3%

“Clean”

Leak-Proof3%

“no leaks”

What buyers complain about

Leak-Proof13%

“They leak”

Allergies9%

“Give rash”

Quality-Overall7%

“Bad quality”

Moist/Dry7%

“Not real moist”

Size-Overall6%

“Too big”

Smell6%

“Bad chemical smell”

Value For Money4%

“Expensive”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“they do not clean as well as they used to”

Absorbency3%

“Not as absorbent”

Thickness2%

“Theyre very thick”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall70%
Age Suitability7%
Leak-Proof4%
Value For Money4%
Advertised Vs Actual Product4%
Absorbency2%
Smell1%
Quality-Overall1%
Functionality-Overall1%
Moist/Dry1%