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castile soap bar

Launch it

A $2.1M/yr market growing +44.1% this quarter with returns at 0.1% — clears our launch bar.

Market size 95Growth 65Conversion 93Competition 55Returns 99Price range 70Avg price 80Brand share 0Review moat 25Quality gap 16

Returns

Incredible0.1%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Market size

Incredible$2.1M

$2.1M/yr · 1.1M searches

Conversion

Great11.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Avg price

Great$16.83

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$2.80–$43.49

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Growth

Good+44.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Good52%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Review moat

Bad4,256.87

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Brand share

Bad100%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Competition

The top 5 products take 52% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

3 flat

Sellers

137

Top-5 brand share

100%

Open market

0%

  • Dr. Bronner's81%
  • Kirk's15%
  • Dr. Natural4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (0%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$103K10%$206K15%$309K20%$412K1001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 23 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +44.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
30K20KSpike '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jul · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell25%

“Amazing Smell”

Cleansing12%

“cleans well”

Quality-Overall11%

“Great variety,”

Lather8%

“Excellent lather”

Soft Feel6%

“Soft skin”

Value For Money5%

“Best price”

Ease Of Cleaning4%

“Cleans really good”

Moist/Dry3%

“Helps with dry skin”

Allergies3%

“No itching”

Suitability Combination Skin3%

“Good for sensitive skin”

What buyers complain about

Smell25%

“Not fragrance free”

Allergies10%

“Makes me itch”

Value For Money7%

“More expensive”

Moist/Dry6%

“It was too dry for my sensitive skin”

Sensitivity-Overall3%

“I have extremely sensitive skin”

Skin Health2%

“There is something in it that burns the skin really bad”

Size-Overall2%

“Bars are much smaller than expected”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Not as advertised”

Durability2%

“doesnt last as long”

Ingredients-Overall1%

“What cheap additives has the company decided to use”

Top return reasons

Smell50%
Advertised Vs Actual Product13%
Value For Money8%
Size-Overall4%
Defective Material/Parts4%
Ingredients-Overall3%
Moist/Dry2%
Functionality-Overall2%
Skin Health2%
Lather1%