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baby sunscreen

Launch it

A $4.9M/yr market growing +90.1% this quarter with returns at 0.7% — clears our launch bar.

Market size 97Growth 87Conversion 98Competition 46Returns 97Price range 83Avg price 75Brand share 34Review moat 25Quality gap 28

Conversion

Incredible16.2%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Incredible$4.9M

$4.9M/yr · 2.0M searches

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Growth

Great+90.1%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Price range

Great$7.75–$57.39

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Great$14.97

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Competition

Okay57%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Brand share

Okay84%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad4,473.88

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

The top 5 products take 57% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

15 flat

Sellers

665

Top-5 brand share

84%

Open market

10%

  • BLUE LIZARD27%
  • THINK23%
  • Aveeno Baby14%
  • Thinkbaby12%
  • Coppertone9%
  • Sun Bum5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (9 brands, 10%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$147K6%$294K9%$441K12%$588K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 32 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +90.1% search growth over the last 90 days.
120K80KSpike '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Mar, Apr, May, Jun, Jul · busiest ÷ quietest = 10.5×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Ease Of Use10%

“Ease of use”

Ease Of Application9%

“Easy and smooth to apply”

Quality-Overall9%

“good quality and easy to put on”

Protection8%

“Great Protection”

Suitability Combination Skin5%

“suitable for sensitive skin”

Smell5%

“it's fragrance-free”

Allergies5%

“No eye irritation”

Value For Money3%

“Worth buying”

Soft Feel3%

“It goes on smoothly”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Does what it says”

What buyers complain about

Allergies10%

“Skin Irritation”

Value For Money5%

“Expensive”

Thickness5%

“Thickness of the cream”

Ease Of Use5%

“Hard to get off”

Size-Overall5%

“bigger than I expected”

Smell4%

“Chemical smell”

Color4%

“It starts off white”

Leak-Proof4%

“spilled powder everywhere”

Durability3%

“Broke”

Skin Health3%

“Skin Irritation”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall15%
Leak-Proof12%
Value For Money10%
Advertised Vs Actual Product7%
Functionality-Overall6%
Smell6%
Product Condition5%
Dispensing Mechanism4%
Ingredients-Overall3%
Defective Material/Parts3%