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wet palette

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Soft demand (-10.8% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 57Growth 20Conversion 73Competition 27Returns 95Price range 80Avg price 95Brand share 29Review moat 49Quality gap 28

Returns

Great1.0%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Incredible$23.34

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$8.44–$44.05

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Good6.7%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Good$433K

$433K/yr · 276K searches

Review moat

Okay1,612.9

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Okay88%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

Okay69%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Growth

Bad-10.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 69% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

12 rising

Sellers

32

Top-5 brand share

88%

Open market

9%

  • golden maple23%
  • The Army Painter20%
  • Redgrassgames20%
  • Kreapa13%
  • Nicpro11%
  • Masterson3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (6 brands, 9%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$22K10%$43K15%$65K20%$87K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 21 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -10.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
10K6KPrime Day '24Spike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 1.7×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Paint Quality20%

“it does do a good job at keep paints fresh”

Quality-Overall15%

“Good quality”

Value For Money12%

“Well worth it”

Ease Of Use7%

“Easy to use”

Advertised Vs Actual Product6%

“Exactly as pictured and described”

Size-Overall3%

“Great and convenient size”

Moist/Dry3%

“Pretty good at keeping moisture in”

Color2%

“Nice color”

Efficiency2%

“Does the job”

Compactness2%

“The compact design is simply genius”

What buyers complain about

Paint Quality14%

“Day 2 and paint is wet”

Size-Overall14%

“Really small”

Value For Money9%

“It was expensive”

Quality-Overall8%

“OVERPRICED Extremely Low Quality product”

Moist/Dry4%

“These drops dry”

Durability4%

“will break if dropped”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“Sponge is too messy to use”

Product Condition3%

“Received used one instead of new”

Ease Of Use2%

“Worst Wet Palette I've Ever Had The Displeasure Of Using”

Material Quality2%

“Cheap plastic”

Top return reasons

Size-Overall39%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Paint Quality10%
Defective Material/Parts7%
Wet Cleaning5%
Quality-Overall4%
Material Quality4%
Functionality-Overall4%
Value For Money3%
Product Condition2%