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50

tempera cakes

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.9%), but a small market ($37K/yr) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 9Growth 56Conversion 16Competition 77Returns 95Price range 38Avg price 94Brand share 26Review moat 87Quality gap 40

Returns

Incredible0.9%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$46.69

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Review moat

Great266.77

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Great38%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Growth

Good+30.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Price range

Okay$7.32–$232.11

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Okay90%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Conversion

Bad1.3%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Market size

Bad$37K

$37K/yr · 61K searches

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (38% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

13 flat

Sellers

48

Top-5 brand share

90%

Open market

8%

  • Jack Richeson33%
  • Nuanchu26%
  • Colorations22%
  • Heigble6%
  • First Impressions3%
  • Sax3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (7 brands, 8%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$2K10%$4K15%$6K20%$7K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)1 product missing review or click data not plotted

All 35 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 56 weeks — +30.2% search growth over the last 90 days.
2K1KPrime Day '25Spike '26JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Aug, Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color54%

“Vivid brightcolor”

Quality-Overall9%

“Great quality for the price point”

Value For Money7%

“Good value”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“Set up and clean up are super easy”

Durability3%

“Theyre durable and crack-resistant, so my kids can work on their projects without worrying about the paint messing up”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“Received as advertised”

Engraving/Paint/Sublimation2%

“I love to paint”

Paint Quality2%

“This Tempera Paint Cakes Set is perfect for my kids' art time”

Ease Of Use2%

“Easy to use, great colors”

Creativity1%

“Perfect for art projects with my daughter”

What buyers complain about

Value For Money18%

“They are so expensive”

Color14%

“I dont even buy the little trays of water color anymore”

Product Condition9%

“Item was not new”

Quality-Overall9%

“These really are not good quality”

Gifting Purpose9%

“it was a gift so its unfortunate the case that holds the colors arrived in damaged condition”

Ease Of Use5%

“Hard to pick up pigment”

Durability5%

“It breaks”

Material Quality3%

“Why struggle with using cheap materials”

Smudge Resistance2%

“kind of turns into a mess”

Paint Quality2%

“The paint dries very chalky on paper”

Top return reasons

Color28%
Paint Quality21%
Size-Overall14%
Defective Material/Parts12%
Value For Money7%
Advertised Vs Actual Product5%
Quality-Overall3%
Gifting Purpose2%
Material Quality1%
Functionality-Overall1%