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58

rainbow loom

Launch it

A $3.4M/yr market growing +9.4% this quarter with returns at 1.1% — clears our launch bar.

Market size 96Growth 37Conversion 71Competition 56Returns 94Price range 58Avg price 77Brand share 32Review moat 37Quality gap 16

Market size

Incredible$3.4M

$3.4M/yr · 3.3M searches

Returns

Great1.1%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$15.78

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Conversion

Good6.5%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Good$5.75–$27.85

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Competition

Good52%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Growth

Okay+9.4%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Review moat

Okay2,777.33

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Okay86%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Competition

The top 5 products take 52% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

11 falling

Sellers

28

Top-5 brand share

86%

Open market

7%

  • Rainbow Loom46%
  • XKDOUS13%
  • Yestrong11%
  • Booriss8%
  • INSCRAFT8%
  • YITOHOP7%
  • Open — no brand owns it (5 brands, 7%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%4%$134K8%$268K12%$403K16%$537K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 27 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +9.4% search growth over the last 90 days.
125K75KSpike '24Holiday '24Prime Day '25Spike '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jun, Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.0×