Skip to content
43

paint by scratch

Skip it

Soft demand (-35.3% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 11Growth 7Conversion 44Competition 78Returns 97Price range 50Avg price 57Brand share 11Review moat 92Quality gap 32

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Great150.16

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Competition

Great37%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Avg price

Good$12.79

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$7.07–$22.97

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Conversion

Okay3.5%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Bad$46K

$46K/yr · 103K searches

Brand share

Bad95%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Growth

Bad-35.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (37% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

11 falling

Sellers

26

Top-5 brand share

95%

Open market

3%

  • Brea Reese81%
  • Tip perk8%
  • AP ARTSPER2%
  • BulChign2%
  • Toulideifaria2%
  • UC Botanical Garden1%
  • Open — no brand owns it (5 brands, 3%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$1K6%$3K9%$4K12%$6K1101001K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 38 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 88 weeks — -35.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
7K5KSpike '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Fun/Entertainment Experience35%

“Fun and colorful”

Ease Of Use12%

“Its easy to use”

Quality-Overall10%

“Great scratch art”

Scratch Resistance8%

“Easy scratch art”

Design-Overall7%

“The designs and color are great”

Color6%

“Love the brilliant colors”

Comfort-Overall5%

“So relaxing”

Value For Money3%

“Not expensive either”

Gifting Purpose2%

“The perfect gift”

Image/Picture Clarity2%

“The careful attention to detail needed to complete the picture was excellent at allowing me to absorb completely into the activity”

What buyers complain about

Scratch Resistance18%

“Im finding that the scratch tool has gotten dull”

Hard Feel11%

“some are hard”

Design-Overall10%

“disappointed about the underlying design”

Sharpness7%

“the plastic point is not sharp enough to scratch”

Mess Free7%

“Insanely messy”

Functionality-Overall5%

“It didnt work as advertised”

Quality-Overall5%

“Terrible Quality, Not Scratch Art”

Ease Of Use4%

“hard to do”

Paint Quality3%

“It doesnt have paint that scratches off easily”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“So a little clean up needed after”

Top return reasons

Scratch Resistance26%
Advertised Vs Actual Product24%
Defective Material/Parts9%
Value For Money6%
Design-Overall6%
Size-Overall5%
Product Condition5%
Quality-Overall4%
Paint Quality3%
Mess Free3%