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oil based colored pencils

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Soft demand (-14.2% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 34Growth 18Conversion 30Competition 41Returns 96Price range 56Avg price 60Brand share 44Review moat 20Quality gap 21

Returns

Incredible0.8%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Good$13.19

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$1.69–$31.94

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Brand share

Okay79%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Competition

Okay60%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Market size

Okay$164K

$164K/yr · 517K searches

Conversion

Okay2.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Bad4.7★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad14,035.48

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Growth

Bad-14.2%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 60% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

14 falling

Sellers

67

Top-5 brand share

79%

Open market

16%

  • Soucolor25%
  • KALOUR21%
  • Crayola20%
  • Kird Barken7%
  • Yagol6%
  • PRINA5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (8 brands, 16%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$16K20%$33K30%$49K40%$66K1001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 21 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -14.2% search growth over the last 90 days.
18K13KHoliday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Jan, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 4.1×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color39%

“Amazing colors”

Quality-Overall13%

“Good quality and good container”

Value For Money10%

“Great deal”

Pen/Pencil Quality5%

“Great Pencils”

Soft Feel3%

“So soft”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“As advertised”

Ease Of Use3%

“easy to work with”

Durability2%

“Durable and strong”

Fun/Entertainment Experience2%

“Fun to use”

Drawing Experience2%

“A great drawing product”

What buyers complain about

Color27%

“Dull color”

Quality-Overall9%

“Disappointed in the quality”

Durability8%

“Falls apart easily”

Sharpness5%

“they arent very sharp”

Value For Money2%

“Thought this would be worth the price”

Nib/Tip Quality2%

“sometimes the tip breaks with very little pressure”

Display Colors2%

“disappointing the colors are so far off”

Strength2%

“And breaks apart fairly quickly”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“not as advertised”

Size-Overall2%

“pretty disappointed in the size”

Top return reasons

Color25%
Value For Money13%
Quality-Overall8%
Advertised Vs Actual Product8%
Size-Overall5%
Display Colors5%
Product Condition5%
Functionality-Overall4%
Defective Material/Parts4%
Gifting Purpose2%