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57

halloween makeup

Worth a look

Shows low returns (0.7%), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 45Growth 26Conversion 18Competition 90Returns 97Price range 69Avg price 79Brand share 79Review moat 21Quality gap 52

Returns

Incredible0.7%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Competition

Great25%

top-5 click share — an open shelf

Brand share

Great56%

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

Avg price

Great$16.56

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$1.97–$124.29

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Market size

Okay$243K

$243K/yr · 1000K searches

Growth

Okay+0.7%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Review moat

Bad10,964.12

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Conversion

Bad1.5%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Clicks spread well past the top 5 (25% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.

Brands

38 falling

Sellers

159

Top-5 brand share

56%

Open market

39%

  • UCANBE30%
  • Mehron8%
  • Ben Nye7%
  • MEICOLY6%
  • BOBISUKA6%
  • NYX PROFESSIONAL MAKEUP5%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%3%$7K6%$15K9%$22K12%$29K101001K10K100K1.0M Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 74 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +0.7% search growth over the last 90 days.
200K150KSpike '24Spike '25SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Sep, Oct, Nov · busiest ÷ quietest = 40.1×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall14%

“High quality for price”

Color13%

“color accurate”

Value For Money10%

“They are affordable”

Soft Feel8%

“Incredibly soft”

Ease Of Use5%

“Ease of use”

Durability3%

“Stays on all day”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“As described”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“Paired with a good cleanser”

Suitability Combination Skin3%

“was perfect for my skin”

Cleansing2%

“Easy to clean”

What buyers complain about

Color7%

“not white”

Adhesion/Stickiness6%

“But it doesnt stick well”

Quality-Overall5%

“much lower quality than expected”

Moist/Dry4%

“Pads were dry”

Durability4%

“Breaks easily”

Size-Overall4%

“They get very large”

Smudge Resistance3%

“smeared”

Functionality-Overall3%

“Doesn't work”

Allergies3%

“Rash”

Ease Of Use3%

“Hard to get off”

Top return reasons

Color13%
Advertised Vs Actual Product11%
Functionality-Overall10%
Size-Overall7%
Adhesion/Stickiness6%
Paint Quality6%
Value For Money5%
Quality-Overall5%
Defective Material/Parts3%
Smell3%