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gel crayons

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Soft demand (-19.4% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 54Growth 15Conversion 42Competition 47Returns 96Price range 75Avg price 83Brand share 23Review moat 59Quality gap 35

Returns

Incredible0.8%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Great$18.02

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$9.35–$32.44

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Good1,143.14

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Market size

Good$368K

$368K/yr · 604K searches

Competition

Okay57%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Conversion

Okay3.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Okay4.5★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Brand share

Bad91%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Growth

Bad-19.4%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 57% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

10 falling

Sellers

15

Top-5 brand share

91%

Open market

6%

  • JUPITEARTH40%
  • Jar Melo31%
  • Prudiut11%
  • Lebze6%
  • Shuttle Art4%
  • Mr. Pen3%
  • Open — no brand owns it (4 brands, 6%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$18K10%$37K15%$55K20%$74K101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 22 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 103 weeks — -19.4% search growth over the last 90 days.
23K18KPrime Day '24Spike '24Black Friday '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Feb, Mar, Apr, Jun · busiest ÷ quietest = 6.2×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Color36%

“Colors are beautiful”

Soft Feel10%

“Smooth & Silky”

Ease Of Use8%

“Ease of Use”

Quality-Overall6%

“Excellent product”

Ease Of Cleaning6%

“Easy to wash off”

Fun/Entertainment Experience5%

“Fun set”

Durability3%

“They are durable”

Drawing Experience2%

“My toddler and I love drawing with these”

Pen/Pencil Quality2%

“Terrific crayons”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“As advertised”

What buyers complain about

Ease Of Cleaning9%

“The make a huge mess”

Color9%

“They color very dark”

Durability7%

“break off easily”

Stain Resistance6%

“Messy and stains”

Smudge Resistance5%

“They smear on the paper”

Moist/Dry3%

“They all dried up”

Paper Quality3%

“Cheaply made, they crack easily and leave chunks of crayon on the paper when my toddler colors”

Drying Time3%

“They also take time to dry”

Hard Feel2%

“they turned hard”

Strength2%

“Breaks so easily”

Top return reasons

Advertised Vs Actual Product13%
Color9%
Value For Money9%
Ease Of Cleaning8%
Defective Material/Parts8%
Stain Resistance7%
Size-Overall5%
Product Condition5%
Quality-Overall4%
Functionality-Overall4%