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flying wish paper

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Brand-locked demand (top 5 brands take 99% of clicks) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 28Growth 11Conversion 62Competition 58Returns 87Price range 70Avg price 76Brand share 2Review moat 82Quality gap 65

Returns

Great1.4%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Great351.83

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Avg price

Great$15.43

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Good$8.04–$31.42

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Conversion

Good5.4%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Competition

Good50%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Market size

Okay$124K

$124K/yr · 149K searches

Growth

Bad-28.5%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Brand share

Bad99%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Competition

The top 5 products take 50% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

6 flat

Sellers

26

Top-5 brand share

99%

Open market

0%

  • Papier d'Armenie37%
  • Flying Wish Paper36%
  • OPTATUM21%
  • Swiffen3%
  • NATURALABEL2%
  • Eaasty1%
  • Open — no brand owns it (0%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$6K10%$12K15%$19K20%$25K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 30 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 83 weeks — -28.5% search growth over the last 90 days.
6K4KHoliday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25Spike '26DecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Jan, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.7×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Smell52%

“These are so cool AND the scents are long lasting”

Advertised Vs Actual Product9%

“Works better than expected”

Quality-Overall6%

“Great Product”

Value For Money3%

“Great buy”

Gifting Purpose3%

“They are great in a gift basket”

Ease Of Use3%

“Easy to use”

Paper Quality3%

“But it really is cool paper”

Fire Resistance2%

“and burns cleanly”

Design-Overall2%

“Beautiful design”

Fun/Entertainment Experience2%

“Fun incenses”

What buyers complain about

Smell47%

“Crappy smells”

Value For Money7%

“poor value for money”

Functionality-Overall6%

“Did not work”

Quality-Overall5%

“This are not great quality”

Strength3%

“Can be considered too strong”

Size-Overall2%

“bigger than most”

Flammable2%

“it burned right down to the porcelain dish within a few seconds”

Paper Quality2%

“Paper disappears”

Color2%

“not brown like Im used to”

Advertised Vs Actual Product2%

“just different”

Top return reasons

Smell63%
Advertised Vs Actual Product10%
Size-Overall6%
Functionality-Overall4%
Value For Money2%
Paper Quality2%
Flammable2%
Paper Compatibility2%
Defective Material/Parts1%
Strength1%