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Soft demand (-22.0% this quarter) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 26Growth 14Conversion 25Competition 31Returns 97Price range 84Avg price 95Brand share 54Review moat 66Quality gap 63

Returns

Incredible0.6%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Avg price

Incredible$25.82

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Price range

Great$9.64–$47.48

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Review moat

Good875.81

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Quality gap

Good4.4★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Brand share

Good72%

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

Competition

Okay67%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Market size

Okay$110K

$110K/yr · 217K searches

Conversion

Bad2.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Growth

Bad-22.0%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Competition

The top 5 products take 67% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

13 falling

Sellers

15

Top-5 brand share

72%

Open market

18%

  • UM UPMALL23%
  • Bemaystar18%
  • Caydo11%
  • Kidstique11%
  • TEXTURE OF DREAMS11%
  • Paintable Pictures10%

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$11K20%$22K30%$33K40%$44K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 16 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — -22.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
13K8KHoliday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Holiday '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 3.8×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Quality-Overall17%

“The canvases are very well made”

Fun/Entertainment Experience14%

“So much fun”

Paint Quality10%

“Fun to Paint”

Value For Money8%

“Worth the money”

Gifting Purpose8%

“Unique gift”

Color8%

“The colors are vibrant”

Ease Of Use5%

“They make it so easy to use”

Image/Picture Clarity3%

“Overall, the picture is good,”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“Overall it worked better than expected”

Design-Overall2%

“These are well designed”

What buyers complain about

Color32%

“Colors are way too dark”

Paint Quality17%

“The paint colors received were way off”

Quality-Overall8%

“Not good quality control”

Advertised Vs Actual Product6%

“Wrong Photo Used”

Display Colors4%

“Distorted colors”

Size-Overall4%

“slightly larger than the canvas”

Ease Of Use2%

“im having difficulty with it”

Value For Money2%

“they are expensive to commission”

Gifting Purpose2%

“I just can't it's just to horrible to gift”

Moist/Dry1%

“some of the paints were dried out”

Top return reasons

Paint Quality33%
Quality-Overall17%
Advertised Vs Actual Product12%
Display Colors10%
Print Quality7%
Value For Money5%
Size-Overall5%
Frame Quality5%
Color5%
Instructions/User Manual/Troubleshooting2%