Skip to content
43

black tempera paint

Skip it

A small market ($58K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 14Growth 21Conversion 94Competition 48Returns 95Price range 55Avg price 52Brand share 23Review moat 25Quality gap 27

Returns

Incredible1.0%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Conversion

Great11.6%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Price range

Good$0.61–$32.86

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Good$12.25

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Competition

Okay56%

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

Quality gap

Okay4.6★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Review moat

Bad4,767.78

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Brand share

Bad91%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Growth

Bad-7.3%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Market size

Bad$58K

$58K/yr · 40K searches

Competition

The top 5 products take 56% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.

Brands

8 falling

Sellers

81

Top-5 brand share

91%

Open market

4%

  • Prang39%
  • Crayola23%
  • Colorations12%
  • Handy Art10%
  • Apple Barrel6%
  • The Pencil Grip5%
  • Open — no brand owns it (2 brands, 4%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%5%$3K10%$6K15%$9K20%$12K101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 18 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 90 weeks — -7.3% search growth over the last 90 days.
1K750Prime Day '25Spike '25Spike '26NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

Peak months: Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 2.3×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Paint Quality16%

“Great paint”

Quality-Overall15%

“Excellent Product”

Value For Money12%

“Worth it”

Color11%

“Color is good”

Ease Of Cleaning9%

“Cleanup was quick”

Ease Of Use5%

“Easy to use”

Efficiency4%

“it does the job ig”

Durability4%

“it has held up”

Coverage3%

“Good coverage”

Advertised Vs Actual Product3%

“As advertised”

What buyers complain about

Paint Quality31%

“Black paint”

Quality-Overall13%

“Cheap”

Color10%

“Black turned green”

Weight Heavy6%

“then started going heavy”

Smell4%

“Smell wasn't as strong”

Ease Of Cleaning3%

“Messy”

Suitable For Outdoor3%

“NOT FOR FISH TANKS”

Ease Of Use3%

“This was extremely difficult to get off my sons feet”

Thickness2%

“Using on cement and pavement, usually need to thin it because it is very thick”

Smudge Resistance2%

“Need to be very careful with whatever you are making a print on or it can smudge”

Top return reasons

Paint Quality47%
Value For Money19%
Color10%
Size-Overall5%
Functionality-Overall4%
Leak-Proof3%
Advertised Vs Actual Product2%
Quality-Overall2%
Product Condition1%
Display Colors1%