Skip to content
39

black makeup

Skip it

A small market ($33K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.

Market size 8Growth 53Conversion 79Competition 23Returns 44Price range 35Avg price 30Brand share 18Review moat 36Quality gap 68

Conversion

Great8.0%

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

Quality gap

Good4.3★

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

Growth

Good+24.8%

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

Returns

Okay3.7%

return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate

Review moat

Okay2,886.64

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

Price range

Okay$5.10–$20.28

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

Avg price

Okay$9.63

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

Competition

Bad72%

top-5 click share — a locked-up shelf

Brand share

Bad93%

top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand

Market size

Bad$33K

$33K/yr · 42K searches

Competition

The top 5 products capture 72% of clicks — a locked-up shelf that new listings rarely crack.

Brands

8 falling

Sellers

19

Top-5 brand share

93%

Open market

3%

  • BOBISUKA48%
  • MEICOLY17%
  • Mehron12%
  • Blue Squid10%
  • BADCOLOR7%
  • Go Ho4%
  • Open — no brand owns it (2 brands, 3%)

Product shelf

Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.

0%10%$3K20%$7K30%$10K40%$13K1001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moat Market share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)

All 14 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.

Demand & seasonality

Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +24.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
5K4KSpike '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Spike '26SepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay

Peak months: Sep, Oct, Nov · busiest ÷ quietest = 11.4×

Reviews

What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.

What buyers love

Coverage16%

“Great coverage,”

Value For Money10%

“very good product for the price”

Ease Of Cleaning8%

“Easy clean up”

Paint Quality7%

“I don't really want to tell anyone how much I love this body paint”

Quality-Overall7%

“Excellent quality”

Ease Of Use6%

“Easy to use”

Soft Feel6%

“also smooth”

Moist/Dry5%

“It didn't take terribly long to 'dry'”

Advertised Vs Actual Product4%

“Goes on as advertised”

Smudge Resistance4%

“Great product, not smearing or running”

What buyers complain about

Size-Overall14%

“Small”

Smudge Resistance13%

“smudged a lot”

Oily/Greasy8%

“It's greasy - wore it a few hours for a party”

Smell6%

“Stink”

Quality-Overall6%

“very cheap and doesn't blend out well”

Product Condition6%

“Recieved used product”

Durability5%

“AND BROKE ON THE FIRST USE”

Skin Health3%

“It irritated my skin”

Water Resistance3%

“splashing in water is really hard”

Allergies3%

“It irritated my skin”

Top return reasons

Paint Quality30%
Color12%
Size-Overall10%
Functionality-Overall9%
Advertised Vs Actual Product8%
Product Condition5%
Adhesion/Stickiness4%
Defective Material/Parts3%
Smudge Resistance2%
Stain Resistance2%