---
title: "Trend — outdoor pumpkin decor - Flapen"
canonical_url: "https://flapen.com/research/us/patio-lawn-garden/outdoor-pumpkin-decor/trend"
last_updated: "2026-08-11T08:02:54.994Z"
locale: en
meta:
  description: "Niche score 56/100 · $12K/yr market. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
  "og:description": "Niche score 56/100 · $12K/yr market. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
  "og:title": "Trend — outdoor pumpkin decor - Flapen"
---

# **outdoor pumpkin decor**

**Worth a look**

Shows demand growing +365.7% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 3Growth 100Conversion 1Competition 62Returns 24Price range 90Avg price 95Brand share 81Review moat 90Quality gap 67

**Growth**

**Incredible****+365.7%**

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

**Avg price**

**Incredible****$30.60**

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

**Review moat**

**Great****203.23**

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

**Price range**

**Great****$10.01–$97.47**

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

**Brand share**

**Great****54%**

top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche

**Quality gap**

**Good****4.3★**

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

**Competition**

**Good****48%**

top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse

**Returns**

**Bad****5.3%**

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

**Market size**

**Bad****$12K**

$12K/yr · 493K searches

**Conversion**

**Bad****0.1%**

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

**Signals**[** Trending**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=trending "Search growth > 100% (90d)") [** No Dominant Brand**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=no_dominant_brand "Top brand's click share < 20%") [** Low Review Barrier**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=low_review_barrier "Top brand's reviews < 500") [** High Returns**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=high_returns "Return rate > 5%") [** Out of Stock**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=out_of_stock "OOS rate > 10%")

## Trend