---
title: "graduation balloons — $252K/yr Amazon United States Niche, Score 67/100 - Flapen"
canonical_url: "https://flapen.com/research/us/home-kitchen/graduation-balloons"
last_updated: "2026-07-20T18:10:12.117Z"
locale: en
meta:
description: "graduation balloons shows demand growing +628.8% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
"og:description": "graduation balloons shows demand growing +628.8% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
"og:title": "graduation balloons — $252K/yr Amazon United States Niche, Score 67/100 - Flapen"
---
# **graduation balloons**
**Worth a look**
Shows demand growing +628.8% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.
Market size 47Growth 100Conversion 37Competition 92Returns 51Price range 32Avg price 26Brand share 96Review moat 69Quality gap 68
**Growth**
**Incredible****+628.8%**
90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
**Brand share**
**Incredible****33%**
top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche
**Competition**
**Great****23%**
top-5 click share — an open shelf
**Review moat**
**Good****742.16**
avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
**Quality gap**
**Good****4.3★**
avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
**Returns**
**Good****3.0%**
return rate — above 6% kills the launch gate
**Market size**
**Okay****$252K**
$252K/yr · 936K searches
**Conversion**
**Okay****2.9%**
search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
**Price range**
**Okay****$4.34–$20.06**
cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
**Avg price**
**Okay****$9.18**
avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, graduation balloons is a $252K/yr Amazon United States market (936K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 33% of demand. Demand peaks in May–Jun. Verdict: Worth a look — 67/100.
Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · [~~How we score niches ~~](https://flapen.com/research/methodology)
## **Market data**
- **Units sold / yr**
- **30K–40K**
- avg 250–500/product
- **Revenue / yr**
- **$275K–$367K**
- units × avg price
- **Launch success**
- **10%**
- 5 of 48 new (360d)
- **Conversion rate**
- **2.9%**
- **Avg BSR**
- **#1,700**
- **Page quality**
- **0%**
- **Prime**
- **100%**
- **Sponsored**
- **97%**
- **Out of stock**
- **2.0%**
- **Avg brand age**
- **25 months**
- **Avg seller age**
- **170 days**
## **Competition**
Clicks spread well past the top 5 (23% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.
**Brands**
**75 **▼falling
**Sellers**
**92**
**Top-5 brand share**
**33%**
Top 20: 68%
**Top-5 click share**
**23%**
Top 20: 48%
**Open market**
**62%**
- KatchOn9% - OuMuaMua9% - KARLURE6% - Gatherfun5% - Amscan5% - Lukedons4%
## **Demand & seasonality**
Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +628.8% search growth over the last 90 days.
175K125KSpike '24Black Friday '24Holiday '24Spike '25Holiday '25Spike '26 seasonSepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay
Peak months: May, Jun · busiest ÷ quietest = 57.6×
[**Open Trend **](https://flapen.com/research/us/home-kitchen/graduation-balloons/trend)
## **Product shelf**
Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.
0%2%$5K4%$10K6%$15K8%$20K1101001K10K100K Reviews — right = deep review moatMarket share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)
All 116 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.
### **Top sellers**
by 90-day click share
[1**KARLURE Black Gold Balloons Arch Kit Garland Black Gold Party Decorations for Birthday Men Retirement Summer Halloween Christmas Prom Masquerade 50th Anniversary Party Decorations**KARLURE**$12.62**4.6★2,018 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CH4W8XZY) [2**75 Pack Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set - 12 Inch Black Gold Balloons with Balloon Ribbons for Graduation Party Decoration Supplies**OuMuaMua**$6.07**4.6★2,244 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08X6J94GN) [3**amscan Black Grad Cap Mylar Party Foil Balloon 31 Multicolor**Amscan**$7.99**4.8★118 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B099F5H51D) [4**2Pcs Graduation Cap Balloons Large Standing Graduation Party Decoration Balloons Black Gold Congrats Grad Foil Balloon for Class of 2026 Celebration Supplies**Lukedons**$9.84**4.3★28 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GGY1G9NG) [5**7 Pcs Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set Graduation Bear Balloon Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for Class of 2026 Party Decorations**Villorem**$9.83**4.2★17 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GSYBM56S)
**~~View all top sellers →~~**
### **Newest**
by launch date
[**16 Pcs Graduation Decorations 2026 Balloons Kit 32 Inch 2026 Number Foil Balloon Black Gold White Congrats Grad Party Decor Supplies for Prom Class School College Graduate Congratulations**WOWBigDay**$9.40**20 rev2mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GT4BF63N) [**42pcs Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Grad Latex Confetti Balloons with Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for College High School Graduation Party Decorations Supplies (Rose Gold)**GuassLee**$6.21**22 rev3mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GHNDX89G) [**Graduation Party Decorations 2026 Graduation Balloons - 13Pcs Black Gold Graduation Foil Balloons Class of 2026 with Ribbons - Grad Mylar Balloons for Grad Decorations Supplies College High School**POJOOY**$8.76**32 rev3mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GDN1QJ3Y) [**7 Pcs Graduation Party Decorations Balloons Set Graduation Bear Balloon Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for Class of 2026 Party Decorations**Villorem**$9.83**17 rev3mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GSYBM56S) [**6 Pcs Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Gold Congrats Grad Cap Balloons Grad Star Foil Balloon for College High School Grad Party**Villorem**$6.87**4 rev3mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GSXTCQ45)
**~~View all new products →~~**
### **Trending**
90-day click momentum
[**Graduation Balloons 2026 Grad Party Decorations Black and Gold Congrats Grad Happy Graduation Latex Balloons Diploma Foil Balloon for College High School Congratulations Graduate Party Decoration**Jobkoo**$8.33**4.5★**▲ 25%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GKDT9658) [**16 Pcs Graduation Decorations 2026 Balloons Kit 32 Inch 2026 Number Foil Balloon Black Gold White Congrats Grad Party Decor Supplies for Prom Class School College Graduate Congratulations**WOWBigDay**$9.40**4.5★**▲ 25%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GT4BF63N) [**XJYXQF Graduation Balloons 2026-8PCS Large Variety Mylar Balloons Set for Graduation Party Decor Includes Cap Diploma Congrats Grad (Class of 2026) High School College Senior (Graduation Balloons)**XJYXQF**$9.73**2.2★**▲ 23%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GH6KFH2Q) [**42pcs Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Grad Latex Confetti Balloons with Congrats Grad Foil Balloons for College High School Graduation Party Decorations Supplies (Rose Gold)**GuassLee**$6.21**4.6★**▲ 23%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GHNDX89G) [**Graduation Balloons- Pack of 7 include Big 32 2026 Number Balloons 6Pcs Black and Gold Graduation Balloons Class of 2026 Graduation Balloons Decorations**Cdepdis**$7.69**4.0★**▲ 22%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GQSCRF9W)
**~~View all trending →~~**
## **Reviews**
What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.
### **What buyers love **
**Quality-Overall**19%
*“Amazing quality”*
**Value For Money**10%
*“Not expensive”*
**Color**9%
*“The color was beautiful”*
**Inflation/Deflation**7%
*“They inflate easily”*
**Ease Of Use**7%
*“Easy To Use”*
**Size-Overall**7%
*“Great size”*
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**6%
*“As described”*
**Design-Overall**5%
*“Cute designs”*
**Durability**5%
*“Includes durable string for hanging”*
**Assembly/Installation**4%
*“Easy to put up”*
### **What buyers complain about **
**Inflation/Deflation**17%
*“Deflated”*
**Quality-Overall**12%
*“the quality and durability were inconsistent and disappointing”*
**Size-Overall**9%
*“Extremely small”*
**Heating**6%
*“Overheats easily”*
**Durability**5%
*“Broke after 2 uses”*
**Value For Money**4%
*“I do wish it was a little bit cheaper”*
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**3%
*“Not as pictured”*
**Noise Level**3%
*“Its noisy,”*
**Functionality-Overall**3%
*“Did not work”*
**Smell**2%
*“STRONG odor”*
### **Top return reasons **
**Size-Overall**22%
**Value For Money**18%
**Functionality-Overall**10%
**Color**9%
**Inflation/Deflation**8%
**Heating**7%
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**5%
**Defective Material/Parts**4%
**Quality-Overall**3%
**Noise Level**3%
## **Common questions**
- **Is graduation balloons profitable to sell on Amazon United States?**
- The niche generates $252K/yr across 116 tracked products. 5 of 48 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +628.8%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (67/100).
- **How competitive is the graduation balloons niche?**
- 75 brands and 92 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 23% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 33% of demand.
- **What do buyers complain about in graduation balloons?**
- Top complaints mined from reviews: Inflation/Deflation, Quality-Overall, Size-Overall. The return rate is 3.0%.
- **When does demand for graduation balloons peak?**
- Demand peaks in May–Jun; the busiest month runs 57.6× the quietest.
- **What does it cost to enter the graduation balloons niche?**
- Listings span $4.34–$20.06; the average listing price is $9.18 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 742 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.
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