---
title: "Christmas Tree Cake Pan — $31K/yr Amazon US Niche (2026) - Flapen"
canonical_url: "https://flapen.com/research/us/home-kitchen/christmas-tree-cake-pan"
last_updated: "2026-08-10T12:03:45.849Z"
locale: en
meta:
description: "Niche score 41/100 · $31K/yr market · 147K searches/yr · $25.58 avg price. Doesn't clear our bar today. Data updated Aug 2026."
"og:description": "Niche score 41/100 · $31K/yr market · 147K searches/yr · $25.58 avg price. Doesn't clear our bar today. Data updated Aug 2026."
"og:title": "Christmas Tree Cake Pan — $31K/yr Amazon US Niche (2026) - Flapen"
---
# **christmas tree cake pan**
**Skip it**
A small market ($31K/yr) — this niche doesn't clear our bar today.
Market size 8Growth 63Conversion 10Competition 62Returns 35Price range 75Avg price 95Brand share 18Review moat 72Quality gap 25
**Avg price**
**Incredible****$25.58**
avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
**Price range**
**Great****$8.93–$33.49**
cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
**Review moat**
**Good****603.75**
avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
**Growth**
**Good****+41.0%**
90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
**Competition**
**Good****48%**
top-5 click share — leaders hold, buyers still browse
**Returns**
**Okay****4.2%**
return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
**Quality gap**
**Okay****4.6★**
avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
**Brand share**
**Bad****93%**
top-5 brand share — brand-locked demand
**Conversion**
**Bad****0.8%**
search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
**Market size**
**Bad****$31K**
$31K/yr · 147K searches
According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, christmas tree cake pan is a $31K/yr Amazon United States market (147K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 93% of demand. Demand peaks in Nov–Dec. Verdict: Skip it — 41/100.
Data updated Aug 4, 2026 · scored weekly · [~~How we score niches ~~](https://flapen.com/research/methodology)
## **christmas tree cake pan market data**
- **Units sold / yr**
- **2K–3K**
- avg 0–100/product
- **Revenue / yr**
- **$51K–$64K**
- units × avg price
- **Conversion rate**
- **0.8%**
- **Avg BSR**
- **#538**
- **Page quality**
- **0%**
- **Prime**
- **96%**
- **Sponsored**
- **13%**
- **Out of stock**
- **15.4%**
- **Avg brand age**
- **37 months**
- **Avg seller age**
- **176 days**
## **Competition & brand share**
The top 5 products take 48% of clicks — established leaders, but buyers still shop beyond them.
**Brands**
**10 **—flat
**Sellers**
**46**
**Top-5 brand share**
**93%**
Top 20: 100%
**Top-5 click share**
**48%**
Top 20: 95%
**Open market**
**7%**
- Nordic Ware78% - SADYFON4% - Blushtier4% - Palksky3% - Teenyyou2% - Webake2% - Open — no brand owns it (4 brands, 7%)
## **Demand & seasonality**
Weekly Amazon search volume, last 104 weeks — +41.0% search growth over the last 90 days.
18K13KSpike '24Black Friday '24Holiday '24Spike '25Prime Day '25Black Friday '25Holiday '25Spike '26 seasonSepDecMarJunAugNovMarMay
Peak months: Nov, Dec · busiest ÷ quietest = 100.0×
[**Open Trend **](https://flapen.com/research/us/home-kitchen/christmas-tree-cake-pan/trend)
## **Top christmas tree cake pan search terms**
- **christmas baking pans**24K/yr+151.3%0.0% conv. - **christmas cake pan**22K/yr+68.9%0.4% conv. - **nordic ware christmas**6K/yr+54.3%1.2% conv. - **christmas cake mold**5K/yr+123.4%0.0% conv. - **holiday baking pans**7K/yr-35.3%0.0% conv. - **christmas cake pans**7K/yr+100.0%0.0% conv. - **holiday cake pans**5K/yr-62.4%0.0% conv. - **christmas mini loaf pans**7K/yr+115.9%0.0% conv. - **christmas bundt pan**5K/yr+93.4%0.6% conv. - **christmas loaf pan**5K/yr+80.2%0.7% conv. [**All search terms **](https://flapen.com/research/us/home-kitchen/christmas-tree-cake-pan/search-terms)
## **Top christmas tree cake pan products on Amazon**
Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.
0%3%$9276%$2K9%$3K12%$4K1101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moatMarket share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)
All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.
### **Top sellers**
by 90-day click share
[1**Nordic Ware Platinum Holiday Wreath Bundt Pan**Nordic Ware**$29.20**4.8★828 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004O3USQ0) [2**Nordic Ware Holiday Mini Loaves Pan**Nordic Ware**$31.80**4.7★951 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B001D71BUC) [3**Nordic Ware Gingerbread House Bundt Pan**Nordic Ware**$28.03**4.7★1,980 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B003ZJCFNS) [4**Nordic Ware Pine Forest Bundt Sparkling Silver 9 Cup**Nordic Ware**$32.56**4.8★2,214 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00O90UGDI) [5**Nordic Ware Yule Log Pan**Nordic Ware**$33.03**4.7★1,035 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005NHU1V8)
**~~View all top sellers →~~**
### **Newest**
by launch date
[**OMDBAGD Snowflake Silicone Cake Molds for Baking Christmas Silicone Cake Pan ToolsBirthday Mousse Cake Bakeware Diy Toast Bread Baking Tool Chocolate Mold Jelly Pudding Molds**OMDBAGD**$8.93**9 rev10mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FSXFP7SP) [**FYSUIMU 100 Pcs Christmas Mini Loaf Pans with Lids and Forks 6.6 x 2.6 x 1.2 Cake Pans Green Xmas Tree Rectangular Aluminum Foil Baking Pan for Muffin Ramekins Party Picnic Supplies**FYSUIMU**$30.07**19 rev11mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FPPTH4L5) [**Teenyyou 50 Sets Christmas Paper Loaf Pan 6.3 x 2.2 x 2.2 Inch Mini Disposable Bread Pans with Clear Plastic Bags and Ties Rectangle Baking Mold Loaf Containers for Bread Cake Baking (Stripe Style)**Teenyyou**$31.51**67 rev11mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FND5R7CW) [**Blushtier 2 Pcs Christmas Cake Pan Mold Fluted Cake Pan with Non Stick Coating Baking Molds Bakeware Tray Gold for Christmas Birthday Kitchen**Blushtier**$18.64**7 rev1y ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0F43X6RPL) [**Palksky Bow Shaped Novelty Cake Pans 9.5 Inch Bows Silicone Molds - Nonstick Perfect for Christmas & Birthday Cakes**Palksky**$10.56**19 rev1y ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DPFXQ7F4)
**~~View all new products →~~**
### **Trending**
90-day click momentum
[**SADYFON Christmas Tree Shaped Cake Pan Carbon Steel Cake Decorating Mould Baking Pans Tins Bakeware**SADYFON**$12.21**4.4★**▲ 525%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B097BY43RD) [**OMDBAGD Snowflake Silicone Cake Molds for Baking Christmas Silicone Cake Pan ToolsBirthday Mousse Cake Bakeware Diy Toast Bread Baking Tool Chocolate Mold Jelly Pudding Molds**OMDBAGD**$8.93**4.6★**▲ 510%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FSXFP7SP) [**Teenyyou 50 Sets Christmas Paper Loaf Pan 6.3 x 2.2 x 2.2 Inch Mini Disposable Bread Pans with Clear Plastic Bags and Ties Rectangle Baking Mold Loaf Containers for Bread Cake Baking (Stripe Style)**Teenyyou**$31.51**4.2★**▲ 138%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FND5R7CW) [**Nordic Ware Yule Log Pan**Nordic Ware**$33.03**4.7★**▲ 114%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005NHU1V8) [**Nordic Ware Vintage Ornament Cakelet Pan 2 Cup Capacity Silver**Nordic Ware**$26.35**4.8★**▲ 112%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0DM6P5G2S)
**~~View all trending →~~**
## **What buyers say about christmas tree cake pan**
What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.
### **What buyers love **
**Baking**30%
*“Beautiful bakes”*
**Strength**11%
*“aren't too flimsy to actually use”*
**Size-Overall**7%
*“Perfect size”*
**Durability**6%
*“It's very durable”*
**Cooking Experience**5%
*“They cook the same as every other silicone mold I've ever had”*
**Weight Heavy**4%
*“Good weight heavy duty”*
**Ease Of Use**4%
*“Easy/Smart”*
**Quality-Overall**4%
*“Very nice mold good quality too”*
**Value For Money**4%
*“It was agood price”*
**Color**4%
*“pretty color”*
### **What buyers complain about **
**Ease Of Cleaning**21%
*“Impossible to clean”*
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**14%
*“Not at all what I expected”*
**Cooking Experience**7%
*“Needed cooking spray”*
**Size-Overall**7%
*“It is small so I had to make one for Mr. Gingerbread”*
**Adhesion/Stickiness**7%
*“still had sticking”*
**Product Condition**7%
*“It had been used”*
### **Top return reasons **
**Size-Overall**36%
**Scratch Resistance**11%
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**10%
**Product Condition**10%
**Smell**9%
**Adhesion/Stickiness**6%
**Design-Overall**4%
**Rusts/Corrodes**3%
**Sharpness**3%
**Thin**3%
## **Common questions**
- **Is christmas tree cake pan profitable to sell on Amazon United States?**
- The niche generates $31K/yr across 24 tracked products. 0 of 3 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +41.0%. Flapen's verdict: Skip it (41/100).
- **How competitive is the christmas tree cake pan niche?**
- 10 brands and 46 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 48% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 93% of demand.
- **What do buyers complain about in christmas tree cake pan?**
- Top complaints mined from reviews: Ease Of Cleaning, Advertised Vs Actual Product, Cooking Experience. The return rate is 4.2%.
- **When does demand for christmas tree cake pan peak?**
- Demand peaks in Nov–Dec; the busiest month runs 100.0× the quietest.
- **What does it cost to enter the christmas tree cake pan niche?**
- Listings span $8.93–$33.49; the average listing price is $25.58 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 604 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.
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