---
title: "Trend — orange gel nail polish - Flapen"
canonical_url: "https://flapen.com/research/us/beauty-personal-care/orange-gel-nail-polish/trend"
last_updated: "2026-08-05T21:03:04.162Z"
locale: en
meta:
  description: "Niche score 58/100 · $77K/yr market. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
  "og:description": "Niche score 58/100 · $77K/yr market. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
  "og:title": "Trend — orange gel nail polish - Flapen"
---

# **orange gel nail polish**

**Worth a look**

Shows demand growing +139.6% this quarter, but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.

Market size 19Growth 96Conversion 58Competition 82Returns 87Price range 49Avg price 29Brand share 38Review moat 19Quality gap 53

**Growth**

**Incredible****+139.6%**

90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch

**Returns**

**Great****1.4%**

return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate

**Competition**

**Great****33%**

top-5 click share — an open shelf

**Conversion**

**Good****4.9%**

search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale

**Quality gap**

**Good****4.4★**

avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality

**Price range**

**Okay****$3.71–$25.70**

cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100

**Brand share**

**Okay****82%**

top-5 brand share — brands hold most of the demand

**Avg price**

**Okay****$9.44**

avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100

**Market size**

**Bad****$77K**

$77K/yr · 165K searches

**Review moat**

**Bad****14,751.81**

avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb

**Signals**[** Trending**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=trending "Search growth > 100% (90d)")

## Trend