---
title: "Fall Paint By Numbers Kit for Adults — $9K/yr Amazon US Niche (2026) - Flapen"
canonical_url: "https://flapen.com/research/us/arts-crafts-sewing/fall-paint-by-numbers-kit-for-adults"
last_updated: "2026-08-10T16:27:20.580Z"
locale: en
meta:
description: "Niche score 59/100 · $9K/yr market · 83K searches/yr. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
"og:description": "Niche score 59/100 · $9K/yr market · 83K searches/yr. A failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list. Data updated Jul 2026."
"og:title": "Fall Paint By Numbers Kit for Adults — $9K/yr Amazon US Niche (2026) - Flapen"
---
# **fall paint by numbers kit for adults**
**Worth a look**
Shows no brand lock-in (top 5 brands take 39% of clicks), but a failed launch gate (market size, growth, or returns) keeps it on the watch list.
Market size 2Growth 88Conversion 12Competition 85Returns 59Price range 56Avg price 50Brand share 95Review moat 92Quality gap 62
**Brand share**
**Incredible****39%**
top-5 brand share — no brand owns this niche
**Review moat**
**Great****169.85**
avg incumbent reviews — the moat a new listing must climb
**Growth**
**Great****+91.6%**
90-day search growth — must beat 0% to launch
**Competition**
**Great****30%**
top-5 click share — an open shelf
**Quality gap**
**Good****4.4★**
avg incumbent rating — lower means beatable quality
**Returns**
**Good****2.6%**
return rate — above 5% kills the launch gate
**Price range**
**Good****$4.36–$28.62**
cheapest to priciest tracked listing — scored on the share inside $15–$100
**Avg price**
**Good****$12.05**
avg listing price — sweet spot $15–$100
**Conversion**
**Bad****0.9%**
search→purchase rate — share of searches ending in a sale
**Market size**
**Bad****$9K**
$9K/yr · 83K searches
**Signals**[** No Dominant Brand**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=no_dominant_brand "Top brand's click share < 20%") [** Low Review Barrier**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=low_review_barrier "Top brand's reviews < 500") [** Out of Stock**](https://flapen.com/research/niches?market=us&signal=out_of_stock "OOS rate > 10%")
According to Flapen's Amazon United States niche tracking, fall paint by numbers kit for adults is a $9K/yr Amazon United States market (83K searches/yr). The top 5 brands hold 39% of demand. Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct. Verdict: Worth a look — 59/100.
Data updated Jul 10, 2026 · scored weekly · [~~How we score niches ~~](https://flapen.com/research/methodology)
## **fall paint by numbers kit for adults market data**
- **Units sold / yr**
- **2K–3K**
- avg 0–100/product
- **Revenue / yr**
- **$24K–$30K**
- units × avg price
- **Conversion rate**
- **0.9%**
- **Avg BSR**
- **#453**
- **Page quality**
- **0%**
- **Prime**
- **100%**
- **Sponsored**
- **82%**
- **Out of stock**
- **40.6%**
- **Avg brand age**
- **17 months**
- **Avg seller age**
- **317 days**
## **Competition & brand share**
Clicks spread well past the top 5 (30% combined) — an open shelf where new products get seen.
**Brands**
**26 **▼falling
**Sellers**
**27**
**Top-5 brand share**
**39%**
Top 20: 91%
**Top-5 click share**
**30%**
Top 20: 81%
**Open market**
**56%**
- YOYA13% - Kaixine9% - LKHMVCA6% - Eiazuiks6% - HITO6% - VIGEGU5%
## **Demand & seasonality**
Weekly Amazon search volume, last 88 weeks — +91.6% search growth over the last 90 days.
6K4KSpike '25Spike '26 seasonDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun
Peak months: Aug, Sep, Oct · busiest ÷ quietest = 35.1×
[**Open Trend **](https://flapen.com/research/us/arts-crafts-sewing/fall-paint-by-numbers-kit-for-adults/trend)
## **Top fall paint by numbers kit for adults search terms**
- **fall paint by numbers kit for adults**30K/yr+81.0%1.4% conv. - **fall paint by number**16K/yr+115.4%0.9% conv. - **paint by numbers fall**7K/yr+59.1%0.6% conv. - **paint by number fall**8K/yr+91.6%1.1% conv. - **paint by numbers kit for adults fall**10K/yr+63.7%1.3% conv. - **fall paint by numbers**6K/yr+235.2%0.9% conv. - **thanksgiving paint by number**5K/yr+103.2%1.2% conv. [**All search terms **](https://flapen.com/research/us/arts-crafts-sewing/fall-paint-by-numbers-kit-for-adults/search-terms)
## **Top fall paint by numbers kit for adults products on Amazon**
Each bubble is one product — market share against review moat; bubble size tracks estimated sales, color grades how beatable the incumbent looks.
0%2%$1834%$3666%$5498%$7321101001K10K Reviews — right = deep review moatMarket share (90d) ≈ est. sales
Beatable (≤4.3★) Contested Strong incumbent (>4.7★)
All 24 tracked products in this niche — three views at once, no toggling.
### **Top sellers**
by 90-day click share
[1**YOYA 4 Pack Framed Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults - Fall Forest Adult Paint by Number Kits on Canvas with Easel DIY Autumn Landscape Paint by Number Framed Canvas for Home Wall Decor 8x12 Inch**YOYA**$28.62**4.5★29 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FS6R4WJS) [2**YOYA Framed Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults - Fall Forest Adult Paint By Number Kits on Canvas with Easel DIY Autumn Landscape Paint by Number Framed Canvas for Home Wall Decor 8x12 Inch**YOYA**$8.87**4.3★153 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0F5NPVYWQ) [3**Kaixine 4 Pack Fall Pumpkin Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults Beginner with Frame Thanksgiving Paint by Number with Wooden Easel DIY Adult Paint by Number Kits for Home Decor 10x10-9x12inch**Kaixine**$17.94**4.3★194 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FCG8MC9J) [4**Eiazuiks Thanksgiving Paint by Number for Adults. Thanksgiving Paint by Numbers for Adults Beginner Drawing Paintwork with 3 Paintbrushes Paint Canvas Oil Painting Pumpkin 20 x 16**Eiazuiks**$4.36**4.3★196 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0FCXR3W1Z) [5**Landscape Paint by Number for Adults-Paint by Numbers for Adults Halloween House Painting by Numbers for Gift Home Wall Decor (Halloween 16x20 inch)**HITO**$9.67**4.4★762 rev](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0D6G2WVLY)
**~~View all top sellers →~~**
### **Newest**
by launch date
[**Kalonyth Autumn Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults Beginner Fall Street Adult Paint by Number Kits Without Frame DIY Acrylic Painting for Stress Relief Gift 16x20 inch**Kalonyth**$10.07**9 rev1mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GVN6RKGJ) [**AOSGEDY Fall Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults - Autumn Landscape Adult Paint by Number Kits on Canvas Without Frame for Beginner DIY Acrylic Oil Painting by Numbers Kit for Home Wall Decor 16x20 Inch**AOSGEDY**$8.00**37 rev2mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GXZDYQQY) [**4 Pack Halloween Paint by Numbers for Adults with Framed Canvas - with Wooden Easel Witch Paint by Number on Canvas Fall Pumpkin DIY Acrylic Oil Painting Kits with Brushes for Home Wall Decor 8x12IN**ARTISTKISS**$19.87**20 rev2mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GWXVG3M7) [**Fall Scarecrow Pumpkin Sunflower Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults DIY Paint by Numbers Kits for Adults Beginners Without Frame Acrylic Paint Canvas Painting Kits Art for Home Decor 16x16 Inch**LKHMVCA**$9.40**3 rev3mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GSF35B34) [**Yezavesu Book Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults Fall Scenery Adult Paint by Number Kits on Canvas Without Frame DIY Acrylic Window View Painting by Numbers for Home Wall Decor Gift 16x20 Inch**Yezavesu**$10.00**234 rev5mo ago](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GGHL7FR3)
**~~View all new products →~~**
### **Trending**
90-day click momentum
[**4 Pack Halloween Paint by Numbers for Adults with Framed Canvas - with Wooden Easel Witch Paint by Number on Canvas Fall Pumpkin DIY Acrylic Oil Painting Kits with Brushes for Home Wall Decor 8x12IN**ARTISTKISS**$19.87**4.6★**▲ 1000%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GWXVG3M7) [**Kalonyth Autumn Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults Beginner Fall Street Adult Paint by Number Kits Without Frame DIY Acrylic Painting for Stress Relief Gift 16x20 inch**Kalonyth**$10.07**4.6★**▲ 1000%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GVN6RKGJ) [**Fall Scarecrow Pumpkin Sunflower Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults DIY Paint by Numbers Kits for Adults Beginners Without Frame Acrylic Paint Canvas Painting Kits Art for Home Decor 16x16 Inch**LKHMVCA**$9.40**4.6★**▲ 1000%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GSF35B34) [**AOSGEDY Fall Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults - Autumn Landscape Adult Paint by Number Kits on Canvas Without Frame for Beginner DIY Acrylic Oil Painting by Numbers Kit for Home Wall Decor 16x20 Inch**AOSGEDY**$8.00**4.2★**▲ 1000%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GXZDYQQY) [**Yezavesu Book Paint by Numbers Kit for Adults Fall Scenery Adult Paint by Number Kits on Canvas Without Frame DIY Acrylic Window View Painting by Numbers for Home Wall Decor Gift 16x20 Inch**Yezavesu**$10.00**4.5★**▲ 1000%**](https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GGHL7FR3)
**~~View all trending →~~**
## **What buyers say about fall paint by numbers kit for adults**
What buyers praise and complain about, mined from review topics.
### **What buyers love **
**Fun/Entertainment Experience**22%
*“Fun set for hobbyists”*
**Ease Of Use**14%
*“User friendly”*
**Quality-Overall**14%
*“the quality of the image outline is beautiful”*
**Gifting Purpose**8%
*“Great gift”*
**Value For Money**6%
*“less of price”*
**Image/Picture Clarity**6%
*“The pictures are great”*
**Frame Quality**6%
*“I like that these are framed”*
**Paint Quality**4%
*“I love how the paints were sorted for each painting scene”*
**Brightness/Shine/Glow**2%
*“Bright”*
**Stitch/Finish/Polish**2%
*“I loved the finished product”*
### **What buyers complain about **
**Size-Overall**30%
*“So small”*
**Paint Quality**29%
*“Paint colors are not good”*
**Color**9%
*“Black printed numbers bled through some of the colors”*
**Print Quality**5%
*“some numbers are really hard to see”*
**Quality-Overall**4%
*“poor quality brushes”*
**Instructions/User Manual/Troubleshooting**4%
*“Return instructions”*
**Frame Quality**4%
*“Canvas not framed”*
**Moist/Dry**2%
*“Almost all the paint is dry”*
**Value For Money**2%
*“Price is always going up”*
### **Top return reasons **
**Paint Quality**34%
**Size-Overall**17%
**Frame Quality**11%
**Advertised Vs Actual Product**11%
**Print Quality**6%
**Material Quality**5%
**Mounting**2%
**Quality-Overall**2%
**Display-Overall**2%
**Gifting Purpose**2%
## **Common questions**
- **Is fall paint by numbers kit for adults profitable to sell on Amazon United States?**
- The niche generates $9K/yr across 33 tracked products. 0 of 20 products launched in the last 360 days are still selling. 90-day search growth is +91.6%. Flapen's verdict: Worth a look (59/100).
- **How competitive is the fall paint by numbers kit for adults niche?**
- 26 brands and 27 sellers compete. The top 5 products take 30% of clicks and top 5 brands hold 39% of demand.
- **What do buyers complain about in fall paint by numbers kit for adults?**
- Top complaints mined from reviews: Size-Overall, Paint Quality, Color. The return rate is 2.6%.
- **When does demand for fall paint by numbers kit for adults peak?**
- Demand peaks in Aug–Sep–Oct; the busiest month runs 35.1× the quietest.
- **What does it cost to enter the fall paint by numbers kit for adults niche?**
- Listings span $4.36–$28.62; the average listing price is $12.05 (sweet spot $15–$100). The average incumbent carries 170 reviews — the moat a new listing must climb.
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